Dr Andy Xie, in his latest SCMP article, warns that the ongoing chip war between the US and China could have a global fallout, resulting in overcapacity and price wars across industries. China’s push for semiconductor self-sufficiency could lead to an oversupply of chips and lower prices.
He further suggests that if China faces obstacles in obtaining key technologies from the US, it may explore domestic substitutes for other vulnerable industries, leading to overcapacity in those areas as well. The potential for overcapacity could have significant implications for industries globally.
Dr Andy Xie 謝國忠, is an independent economist, director of Rosetta Stone Advisors and is one of the few economists who has accurately predicted economic bubbles including the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis and the more recent subprime meltdown in the United States.
He was a part of Morgan Stanley in 1997 and the Managing Director and Head of the firm’s Asia/Pacific economics team until 2006. He also spent two years with Macquarie Bank in Singapore, an associate director in corporate finance and five years as an economist with the World Bank.
Dr. Xie earned a PhD in economics in 1990 and an MS in civil engineering in 1987 from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
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